Difference between revisions of "'The logic of the probabilistic language'"

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= The logic of the probabilistic language =
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| autore = Gianni Frisardi
| autore = Gianni Frisardi
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== Abstract ==
== Abstract ==
[[File:Spasmo_emimasticatorio_JJ.jpg|alt=|left|250x250px]]
[[File:Spasmo_emimasticatorio_JJ.jpg|alt=|left|250x250px]]
The text deals with the logic of probabilistic language applied to the medical field, highlighting how uncertainty is an intrinsic part of scientific practice. Through probabilistic and statistical concepts, efforts are made to manage and understand the uncertainties associated with medical theory and practice.
The role of probability in the relationship between theory and observation is emphasized, distinguishing between subjective uncertainty and randomness. Subjective uncertainty concerns individuals' state of knowledge and belief, while randomness refers to the lack of a certain connection between cause and effect.
In the medical approach, the importance of understanding and distinguishing between subjective and objective probability is discussed. Subjective probability reflects individual belief, while objective probability is based on data and empirical evidence.
The concept of probabilistic-causal analysis is then further explored, which seeks to quantify the relationship between events and random processes in clinical diagnosis. A detailed exposition is presented on how conditional probabilities can be interpreted and how causal relevance partitioning can be used to formulate a differential diagnosis.
Finally, the theme of interdisciplinarity in scientific research is addressed, highlighting the importance of an interdisciplinary approach to tackling complex problems. Fuzzy logic is also mentioned as a possible tool for managing uncertainty in medical contexts.


'''Subjective Uncertainty and Causality'''
The document delves into the probabilistic language in medicine, underlining how inherent uncertainties in scientific practice can be addressed using probabilistic and statistical tools. The distinction between subjective uncertainty, which pertains to individual knowledge and beliefs, and randomness, which involves unpredictability in events, is emphasized. Through various probabilistic methods, the text aims to offer a framework for understanding and managing these uncertainties in medical theories and practices.


This section examines the internal uncertainties that individuals may experience when faced with a diagnosis, using Mary Poppins as a fictional reference. The concepts of subjective and objective uncertainties are explored:
== Introduction ==
* '''Subjective Uncertainty''': This type of uncertainty is dependent on an individual's knowledge and beliefs. It is highlighted that objectivity in science is often a shared consensus of subjective views, termed as intersubjectivity.
The introductory section sets the stage for discussing the integration of probabilistic approaches into the medical field. It highlights the challenges and necessities of managing uncertainties inherent in medical diagnosis and treatment. Probabilistic methods are presented as essential tools for bridging the theoretical knowledge of medicine with practical clinical observations, thereby enhancing decision-making processes.
* '''Causality''': The relationship between causality and uncertainty is discussed in the medical context. Using mathematical expressions, it is shown how medical phenomena do not always follow a deterministic pattern but are rather influenced by probabilistic factors.
'''Subjective and Objective Probability'''


This chapter revisits the discussions from Kazem Sadegh-Zadeh's work on the logic of medical language and applies it to the clinical case of Mary Poppins. It elaborates on how events are categorized as probable based on their randomness and subjective uncertainty:
== The Role of Probability in Medical Practice ==
* '''Subjective Probability''': Involves individual belief and varies according to the information available to the person making the assessment.
This segment discusses the pivotal role that probability plays in linking medical theories to clinical observations. It explains the concepts of subjective and objective probabilities, which are crucial for understanding and managing uncertainties in medical practice. Subjective probability is associated with individual beliefs and knowledge, whereas objective probability is grounded in empirical evidence and data. The application of these probabilistic models is shown to be vital for informed clinical decision-making.
* '''Objective Probability''': In contrast, objective probability is based on empirical evidence and statistical data, reflecting a more quantifiable aspect of probability.
'''Probabilistic-Causal Analysis'''


Probabilistic-causal analysis is used to describe how clinical diagnoses are formulated. This involves assessing the likelihood of various conditions based on observed probabilities:
== Understanding Uncertainty in Clinical Settings ==
* The text details the process of causal relevance and how it can be used to infer potential diagnoses from given data sets.
Here, the focus shifts to the complexities of dealing with uncertainty in clinical environments. The section outlines how probabilistic reasoning helps clinicians manage both subjective uncertainties, which are tied to individual perceptions, and objective uncertainties, which relate to measurable factors. Examples from various medical scenarios illustrate how probabilistic thinking enhances diagnostic accuracy and treatment efficacy.
* A specific focus is placed on the interpretation of conditional probabilities and how they can aid in the differential diagnosis.
'''Interdisciplinarity in Scientific Research'''


The importance of interdisciplinary approaches in scientific research is underscored, particularly in complex fields like medicine. The use of fuzzy logic as a method for handling uncertainty in medical contexts is proposed as an innovative approach to problem-solving across different disciplines.<center><div class="colour-button">[[Special:UserLogin&returnto=Introduction+Page|Read more]]</div></center>
== Probabilistic-Causal Analysis in Diagnostics ==
== Introdduction==
Probabilistic-causal analysis is explored in detail, showing how it helps quantify relationships between different medical events and outcomes. This approach uses conditional probabilities and causal relevance partitioning to refine the accuracy of differential diagnoses. This methodological advancement aids clinicians in making more precise diagnostic and treatment decisions, reducing the potential for errors and improving patient outcomes.
Every scientific idea—whether in medicine, architecture, engineering, chemistry, or any other field—when implemented, is prone to small errors and uncertainties. Mathematics, through the lens of probability theory and statistical inference, aids in precisely managing and thereby mitigating these uncertainties. It must always be considered that in all practical scenarios, "the outcomes also depend on many other external factors to the theory," be they initial and environmental conditions, experimental errors, or others.


The uncertainties surrounding these factors render the theory-observation relationship probabilistic. In medical practice, two types of uncertainty predominantly impact diagnoses: subjective uncertainty and causality.<ref>{{Cite book | autore = Vázquez-Delgado E | autore2 = Cascos-Romero J | autore3 = Gay-Escoda C | titolo = Myofascial pain associated with trigger points: a literature review. Part 2: Differential diagnosis and treatment | url = http://www.medicinaoral.com/pubmed/medoralv15_i4_pe639.pdf | volume = | opera = Med Oral Patol Oral Cir Bucal | anno = 2007 | editore = | città = | ISBN = | PMID = 20173729 | PMCID = | DOI = 10.4317/medoral.15.e639 | oaf = <!-- any value --> | LCCN = | OCLC = }}</ref><ref>{{Cite book | autore = Thoppay J | autore2 = Desai B | titolo = Oral burning: local and systemic connection for a patient-centric approach | url = https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6459460/ | volume = | opera = EPMA J | anno = 2019 | editore = | città = | ISBN = | PMID = 30984309 | PMCID = PMC6459460 | DOI = 10.1007/s13167-018-0157-3 | oaf = <!-- any value --> | LCCN = | OCLC = }}</ref> Therefore, in this context, it becomes crucial to differentiate between these two uncertainties and to demonstrate that the concept of probability assumes different meanings in these contexts. We will endeavor to elucidate these concepts by connecting each critical step to the clinical approach that has been documented in previous chapters, particularly focusing on the dental and neurological domains in vying for diagnostic supremacy for our dear Mary Poppins.
== Interdisciplinarity and Managing Uncertainty ==
----
The importance of an interdisciplinary approach in addressing complex medical challenges is highlighted in this section. It argues for integrating insights from various scientific disciplines to enhance the understanding and treatment of complex diseases. Furthermore, the section introduces fuzzy logic as a valuable tool for handling the inherent vagueness and ambiguity in medical contexts, offering a more nuanced approach to patient care.
==Subjective Uncertainty and Causality==
Let's imagine asking Mary Poppins which of the two medical colleagues—the dentist or the neurologist—is correct.


The question would generate a kind of agitation based on internal uncertainty; therefore, the notions of certainty and uncertainty refer to the subjective epistemic states of human beings, and not to states of the external world, because there is no certainty or uncertainty in that world. In this sense, as we have mentioned, there are an inner world and an external world that both do not adhere to canons of uncertainty, but rather to probability.
== Fuzzy Logic and Its Application in Medicine ==
An in-depth exploration of fuzzy logic and its application within the medical field is provided. This segment describes how fuzzy logic can be used to address the uncertainties and imprecise nature of many medical conditions, facilitating better diagnostic and treatment methodologies. Examples include its use in diagnostic algorithms and treatment decision processes, where traditional binary logic fails to capture the subtleties of human health conditions.


Mary Poppins may be subjectively certain or uncertain as to whether she is suffering from TMDs or a neuropathic or neuromuscular form of OP. This is because "uncertainty" is a subjective, epistemic state below the threshold of knowledge and belief; hence the term.
== Future Directions in Medical Methodology ==
====Subjective Uncertainty====
The document discusses the evolving landscape of medical research and practice, advocating for a dynamic adaptation of medical methodologies to incorporate probabilistic logic and interdisciplinary insights. This section envisions a future where medical practices are continuously updated and refined in response to advancements in scientific research, ensuring that patient care remains at the forefront of technological and methodological innovations.
Without a doubt, the term ‘subjective’ alarms many, especially those who aim to practice science by pursuing the noble ideal of ‘objectivity,’ as this term is perceived by common sense. Therefore, it is appropriate to make some clarifications on the use of this term in this context:


‘Subjective’ indicates that the probability assessment depends on the information status of the individual who performs it.
== Conclusion ==
In conclusion, the text "The Logic of Probabilistic Language in Medicine" presents a robust argument for the necessity of integrating probabilistic models and interdisciplinary approaches in medical practice. It calls for a paradigm shift in how medical professionals handle uncertainty, with a move towards more nuanced and adaptable methodologies that can lead to better patient outcomes. The document envisions a future where the fusion of probabilistic reasoning, advanced technology, and collaborative scientific efforts results in a new era of precision in diagnostics and personalized patient care.


‘Objective’ does not mean arbitrary.
{{ArtBy|
 
| autore = Gianni Frisardi
The so-called ‘objectivity,’ as perceived by those outside scientific research, is achieved when a community of rational beings shares the same state of information. But even in this case, one should more properly speak of ‘intersubjectivity’ (i.e., the sharing of subjective opinions by a group).
| autore2 = Riccardo Azzali
 
| autore3 = Flavio Frisardi
In clinical cases—precisely because patients rarely possess advanced notions of medicine—subjective uncertainty must be considered. Living with uncertainty requires us to adopt a probabilistic approach.
}}
======Causality ======
Probabilistic Language, Medical Field, Uncertainty Management, Subjective Uncertainty, Randomness in Medicine, Objective Probability, Clinical Decision-Making, Probabilistic-Causal Analysis, Differential Diagnosis, Interdisciplinary Approach, Fuzzy Logic, Medical Diagnostics, Treatment Efficacy, Precision Medicine, Personalized Patient Care
Causality indicates the lack of a certain connection between cause and effect. The uncertainty of a close union between the source and the phenomenon is among the most challenging problems in determining a diagnosis.
 
In a clinical case, a phenomenon <math>A(x)</math> (such as a malocclusion, a crossbite, an openbite, etc.) is randomly associated with another phenomenon <math>B(x)</math> (such as TMJ bone degeneration); when there are exceptions for which the logical proposition <math>A(x) \rightarrow B(x)</math> is not always true (but it is most of the time), we will say that the relation <math>A(x) \rightarrow B(x)</math> ......................<center><div class="colour-button">[[Special:UserLogin&returnto=Introduction+Page|Read more]]</div></center>
 
 
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